CLR : NYSE : US$72.88
Continental Resources is a U.S. exploration and
production company with operations in the Williston
Basin (ND & MT) and the SCOOP play (OK). CLR is
headquartered in Oklahoma City, OK.
Energy — Oil and Gas, Exploration and Production
A LARGE SERVING OF THE WB WITH A “SCOOP” ON TOP; INITIATE WITH BUY
CLR is the largest leaseholder in the Williston Basin (WB) with 1.2 million
net acres and is also an industry leader in downspace and enhanced
completions testing in the play. Successful downspacing can add
meaningful value for shareholders, as could increased EURs from
improved completion techniques. Additional upside could come from the
development of the SCOOP in Oklahoma, where the company is the
largest leaseholder and producer in the play. CLR’s upcoming analyst day
could provide meaningful catalysts on all fronts. We initiate coverage with
a BUY rating and $92 price target.
Continued success in WB downspacing can add further upside to
NAV. CLR will conduct three more 660 foot (160-acres) density tests
this year, the results of which could serve as major catalysts when
released, likely by year’s end. Its first such test in McKenzie County
posted strong IP rates in the Bakken and the Three Forks (TF)
benches. These next three pads will target other areas of the WB.
We feel enhanced completions techniques, including the use of
slickwater fracs and increased proppant volumes, should have a
positive impact on EURs going forward. CLR’s latest wells employing
these techniques have solidly outperformed offset wells. It plans more
enhanced completions at its next high-density pads.
We believe the SCOOP will continue to grow at very robust rates
(~50% Y/Y in 2015E) and thereby bolster CLR’s oil/condensate
volumes in the coming years. The testing of extended and stacked
laterals are positive steps, in our view, towards adding further upside
to its already solid position in that play.
The company is on very solid ground with regard to liquidity, in our
view. Combined with internal cash flow generation, CLR should have
more than ample capital to fund WB and SCOOP development.
Our $92 price target is based on a 10% discount to a ~$103 NAV