Peter Schiff : The Real Crash – Book Review – Spectacularly Bad Timing and Bad Advice

 

 

The Real Crash

America’s Coming Bankruptcy – How to Save Yourself and Your Country

2012

St.Martin’s Press

 

page 29:

“… the next big bet is shorting the U.S. government. How ?

1) by shorting the dollar…

2) brace yourself for rapid inflation…

3)by buying physical gold…

4) and gold mining stocks…

5) holding strong foreign currencies like …the Canadian dollar…

 

OMG – wrong for five out of five

 

J.Bass

Here is our recent letter:

Managed Accounts Year End Review and Forecast

November 2014 – 40 % cash position
Gold and Precious MetalsThe largest gains for our clients came from the exit from the gold producers at $18oo an ounce and continuing until we hold no gold and no gold miners . This from the author of The Gold Investors Handbook.2015 – We continue to be on the sidelines for this sector – regardless of the gnomes of Switzerland . As a safe haven gold simply wasnot there for investors despite turmoil in the Middle East, Africa and Ukraine.How much more frightening can the prospect for peace be than to have wars in multiple locations? Secondly the spectre of inflation – on which I have given numerous talks – simply failed to materialize. In fact economists and portfolio managers such as myself are now more concerned about deflation – and the spectre is a Japanese style decades long slide in the world economy.

Shipping Sector / Bulk Shippers You can review our stock market letter athttp://www.amp2012.com to follow our profits in the shipping sector before our retreat as overcapacity has yet to effect continued overbuiding. In 2008-9 rates-  illustrated by the Baltic Dry Index – were at their peak. The BDI hit over 10,000. Today it is roughly 10 % of that benchmark and the sector slide continues. We have an impressive watchlist of former ” darlings” – but we are content to watch and wait.

The returns for Jack A. Bass Managed Accounts

2014  17.9 %

March 10 Update:

LONDON (Reuters) – Gold fell almost 1 percent to a three-month low on Tuesday as the dollar rose to a near 12-year peak versus the euro on renewed expectations of a mid-year hike in U.S. interest rates.

Spot gold dropped to its lowest since Dec. 1 at $1,155.60 an ounce in early trade, and was down 0.4 percent at $1,161.90 by 1048 GMT.

Platinum fell to a new near-five-year low of $1,125.75 an ounce. The metal has dropped 5.1 percent since the start of the year on expectations of lower demand from the automotive sector and higher mine supply.

“Dollar strength overnight in Asia sent the complex lower,” Deutsche Boerse’s MNI senior analyst Tony Walters said.

“The trend is your friend and people will continue to sell rallies,” he added. “Seemingly the only spanner that could be thrown into the works at the moment is if the Fed doesn’t raise rates in June, but the market is short … and it continues to go in its favour.”

Gold took a hit after Friday’s strong U.S. non-farm payrolls data boosted expectations the Federal Reserve would begin increasing interest rates by the middle of the year.

 

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